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Indiana Secretary of State - Elections Division
2010 Indiana Congressional and Statewide Primary Results
Primary Filing Deadline: 2/19/10, Primary Withdrawal Deadline: 2/22/10, Primary: 5/4/10, Independent / Alternative Party Filing Deadline: 6/30/10, Write-in Deadline: 7/6/10, Withdrawal Deadline: 7/15/10, Nomination Deadline: 7/15/10, General Election: 11/2/10,
Last Updated: May 5, 2010
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
Senator, 61.6% in '04, Evan Bayh (D) retiring after 2nd term, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up,
U.S. Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D) 28 votes, '98 congressional nominee Bob Kern (D) 0 votes,
Gary School Board member Darren Washington (D),
ex-U.S. Sen. Daniel R. Coats (R) 39.47%,
St. Sen. Marlin A. Stutzman (R) 29.25%, ex-U.S. Rep. John N. Hostettler (R) 22.62%, bank manager Don Bates, Jr. (R) 4.48%, businessman Richard Behney (R) 4.18%,
1st Congressional District, 70.9% in '08, 13th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic,
Peter J. Visclosky (D),
activist Woodrow "Woody" Wilcox (D),
'00 candidate / '02, '04, '06 & '08 nominee carpenter Mark J. Leyva (R) 24.66%,
waste co. exec. Peter Lindemulder III (R) 22.34%, Eric L. Olson (R) 13.45%, insurance salesman Robert Pastore (R) 13.4%, newspaper circulation manager Adam A. Dombkowski (R) 12.82%, '06 & '08 candidate Ric Holtz (R) 5.81%, '06 & '08 candidate Jayson Reeves (R) 4.61%, '96 & '98 nominee Michael E. Petyo (R) 2.91%,
2nd Congressional District, 67.1% in '08, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Likely Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Democratic,
Joseph S. "Joe" Donnelly (D), St. Rep. Jackie Walorski (R) 60.8%,
School Board pres. Jack E. Jordan (R) 28.35%, '04, '06 & '08 candidate / attorney Tony H. Zirkle (R) 2.95%, tech. consulting co. owner Martin A. Dolan (R) withdrew but still got 7.9%,
3rd Congressional District, 55.0% in '08, 8th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican,
'06 nominee physician / ex-Fort Wayne Councilor Thomas E. Hayhurst (D) 79.81%,
'06 candidate / librarian Thomas Allen Schrader (D) 20.19%,
Mark E. Souder (R) 47.76%,
car dealer Bob Thomas (R) 33.63%, '94 candidate / ex-congressional aide attorney Phillip J. "Phil" Troyer (R) 15.97%, Gregory "Greg" Dickman (R) 2.64%,
4th Congressional District, 59.9% in '08, Stephen Buyer (R) retiring after 9th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican,
'04 & '06 nominee / prof. David A. Sanders (D) 51.73%,
IT firm project manager Tara E. Nelson (D) 28.79%, pastor Mark Powell (D) 19.48%,
Sec. of St. Todd Rokita (R) 42.36%,
St. Sen. Brandt E. Hershman (R) 17.05%, '02 candidate St. Sen. R. Michael "Mike" Young (R) 8.12%, Co. Comm'r. Eric L. Wathen (R) 6.38%, '08 candidate / firefighter LaRon Keith (R) 4.12%, Mayor Charles E. Henderson (R) 4.10%, Jon Acton (R) 4.0%, unemployed worker Cheryl Denise Allen (R) 3.45%, Mike Campbell (R) 2.94%, James T. "Jim" Hass (R) 2.5%, Phillip J. "P.J." Steffen (R) 2.02%, financial planner Mark Seitz (R) 1.81%, Daniel L. Dunham (R) 1.15%, Phil J. Thorpe (R/WI),
5th Congressional District, 65.6% in '08, 14th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican,
Tim Crawford (D) 60.89%,
physician / prof. Nasser Hanna (D) 39.11%,
Dan Burton (R) 29.93%,
ex-St. Rep. Luke Messer (R) 26.94%, '08 candidate / ex-Co. Coroner John McGoff (R) 18.92%, St. Rep. Michael B. "Mike" Murphy (R) 8.95%, '02 congressional nominee / lobbyist Brose A. McVey (R) 8.57%, teacher / activist Andy Lyons (R) 3.62%, Ann B. Adcock (R) 3.07%,
6th Congressional District, 63.9% in '08, 5th term, might run for Governor or President in 2012, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican,
'06 & '08 nominee / pastor Barry A. Welsh (D) 62.95%,
'08 Libertarian nominee George T. Holland (D) 37.05%,
Mike Pence (R),
7th Congressional District, 65.1% in 2008, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Safe Democratic, DCCC target,
André D. Carson (D) 89.06%,
'98 congressional nominee Bob Kern (D) 7.26%, Carl Kakasuleff (D) 2.49%, '06 candidate Pierre Quincy Pullins (D) 1.19%,
'94 & '00 congressional nominee / 04 Senate nominee professor Marvin Bailey Scott (R) 44.30%,
mayoral aide Carlos May (R) 36.95%, '08 candidate / probation officer Wayne E. Harmon (R) 18.74%,
8th Congressional District, 65.7% in '08, 2nd term, Brad Ellsworth (D) running for Senate, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Tossup, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Pure Toss-Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic,
St. Rep. W. Trent Van Haaften (D), physician Larry D. Bucshon (R) 32.73%,
activist Kristi Risk (R) 28.76%, financial adviser John Lee Smith (R) 9.48%, auto worker Dan Stockton (R) 9.46%, activist Steven C. Westell (R) 8.72%, businessman John K. Snyder (R) 5.05%, businessman Bud Bernitt (R) 2.96%, disc jockey Billy J. Mahoney (R) 2.84%,
John Cunningham (L),
9th Congressional District, 57.8% in '08, 2nd / 5th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, DCCC Frontline member, Rothenberg Political Report: Lean Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up, NRCC Target,
Baron P. Hill (D) 69.20%,
'08 candidate John R. Bottorff (D) 14.63%, community activist Carol Johnson-Smith (D) 8.64%, James R. McClure, Jr. (D) 4.43%, '00, '04, '06 & '08 candidate Lendall B. "Lee" Terry (D) 3.11%,
attorney Todd Young (R) 34.59%,
real estate investor Travis Hankins (R) 32.34%, ex-U.S. Rep. Michael E. "Mike" Sodrel (R) 30.45%, quality engineer Rick Warren (R) 2.62%,
Tea Party activist Ron Kimsey (I),
Special Election Caucus
3rd Congressional District, 55.0% in '08, Mark E. Souder (R) resigned during 8th term, Polls

GOP Special Election Nominating Caucus: 6/12/10, Dem. Special Election Nominating Caucus: 6/17/10, Special Election: 11/2/10,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican,
'06 nominee physician / ex-Fort Wayne Councilor Thomas E. Hayhurst (D),
'98 congressional nominee / candidate / ex-felon Bob Kern (D),
First Ballot
'10 Senate candidate / St. Sen. Marlin A. Stutzman (R) 44.3%, St. Rep. Randy L. Borror (R) 16.5%, City Councilwoman Elizabeth M. "Liz" Brown (R) 11.3%, tv news anchor Ryan Elijah (R) 10.6%, '10 primary candidate / car dealer Bob Thomas (R) 5.2%, Robert Morris (R) 3.9%, Dennis "DL" Wright (R) 2.7%, St. Rep. Wes Culver (R) 2.7%, '00 Democratic nominee Michael "Mike" Dewayne Foster (R) 1.2%, 28-year-old Joe Schomburg (R) 1.0%, Rachel L. Grubb (R) 0.2%, volunteer coordinator Lonnie D. Powell (R) 0.2%, Scott Welsh (R) 0%, attorney Richard J. Thonert (R) 0%, '10 primary candidate Gregory "Greg" Dickman (R) 0%,
Scott Wise (L),
Second Ballot
'10 Senate candidate / St. Sen. Marlin A. Stutzman (R) 57.25%,
St. Rep. Randy L. Borror (R) 17.25%, tv news anchor Ryan Elijah (R) 11.5%, City Councilwoman Elizabeth M. "Liz" Brown (R) 9.75%, '10 primary candidate / car dealer Bob Thomas (R) 4.25%,
Tom Metzger (WI),

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
National Journal's Rankings,
Rothenberg Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Indiana Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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