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Indiana Secretary of State - Elections Division
2006 Indiana Congressional and Statewide Races
Primary Filing Deadline: 2/17/06, Primary: 5/2/06, Independent Filing Deadline: 7/17/06, General Election 11/7/06,
Last Updated: December 2, 2006
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
Secretary of State, 53.4% in '02, 1st term, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
ex-deputy Comm'r. of Agr. Joseph R. Pearson (D) 45.6%, Todd Rokita (R) 51.1%, Mike Kole (L) 3.3%,
investment executive Bill Stant (G/WI) 0.02%,
Treasurer, 57.0% in '02, 2nd term, Tim Berry (R) barred and running for Auditor
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
Highland Clerk-Treas. Michael Griffin (D) 48.1%, ex-Co. Comm'r. Richard Mourdock (R) 51.9%,
Auditor, 56.4% in '02, 2nd term, Connie Nass (R) barred
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
Vigo Co. Comm'r. Judy Anderson (D) 48.9%, St. Treas. Tim Berry (R) 51.1%, Chad "Wick" Roots (L/WI),
Senator, 67.8% in '00, 5th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid Republican, Chuck Todd: Least vulnerable Senator, Scott Rasmussen's Balance of Power: GOP,
No Democrat Richard G. Lugar (R) 87.4%, Steve Osborn (L) 12.6%,
Mark Pool (WI) 0.0%, Jack H. Baldwin (WI) 0.0%, Rick Hale (WI),
1st Congressional District, 68.3% in '04, 11th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Peter J. Visclosky (D) 69.6%, carpenter / '00 candidate / '02 & '04 nominee Mark J. Leyva (R) 26.8%, Charles E. Barman (I) 3.5%,
2nd Congressional District, 54.2% in '04, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Chris Cillizza: 8th Most Likely Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Leans Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Democratic, Roll Call Analysis: Tossup, Rothenberg Political Report: Lean Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Democratic, Chuck Todd: 5th Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Leans Democrat,
attorney / businessman / '04 nominee Joseph S. Donnelly (D) 54.0%, Joseph Christopher "Chris" Chocola (R) 46.0%,
3rd Congressional District, 69.2% in '04, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican,
physician / Fort Wayne Councilor Thomas E. Hayhurst (D) 45.7%, Mark E. Souder (R) 52.3%, Scott Wise (L),
4th Congressional District, 69.5% in '04, 7th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
David A. Sanders (D) 37.6%, Stephen Buyer (R) 62.4%,
5th Congressional District, 71.8% in '04, 12th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
realtor / ex-teacher / '02 & '04 nominee Katherine Fox Carr (D) 31.4%, Dan Burton (R) 65.0%, Sheri Conover Sharlow (L) 3.6%,
John Miller (WI) 0.0%,
6th Congressional District, 67.1% in '04, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
minister Barry A. Welsh (D) 40.0%, Mike Pence (R) 60.0%,
7th Congressional District, 54.3% in '04, 5th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Julia M. Carson (D) 53.7%, auto dealer Eric Dickerson (R) 46.3%, John Leroy Plemons (L/WI) 0.0%,
8th Congressional District, 53.4% in '04, 6th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Chris Cillizza: 3th Most Likely Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Leans Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Democrat Favored, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic, Chuck Todd: 6th Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Leans Democrat,
Sheriff Brad Ellsworth (D) 61.0%, John N. Hostettler (R) 39.0%,
9th Congressional District, 49.4% in '04, 1st term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Chris Cillizza: 14th Most Likely Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Leans Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Toss Up, Roll Call Analysis: Leans Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss Up / Tilt Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up, Chuck Todd: 16th Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Tossup,
ex-U.S. Rep. Baron P. Hill (D) 50.0%, Michael E. "Mike" Sodrel (R) 45.5%, prof. D. Eric Schansberg (L) 4.5%,
Donald W. Mantooth (R/WI) 0.0%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
Roll Call Analysis,
National Journal's Chuck Todd,
Rothenberg Political Report,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Indiana Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates 		(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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