D.C.'s Political Report: Texas Congressional and Statewide Races

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Texas Secretary of State - Elections Division

2010 Texas Congressional and Statewide Races
Filing Deadline: 1/4/10, Primary: 3/2/10, Primary Run Off: 4/13/10, Independent Filing Deadline: 5/10/10, Alternative Party Filing Deadline: 5/24/10, General Election: 11/2/08,
Last Updated: November 29, 2010

Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties, State Media,

Governor, 39.0% in '06, 3^rd term, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Hotline's Competitive Governor Race, Rasmussen Reports' Gubernatorial Scorecard: Leans Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss Up / Tilt Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican,

ex-Houston Mayor Bill White (D) 42.3%, Rick Perry (R) 55.0%, attorney Katherine Youngblood "Kathie" Glass (L) 2.2%,

Deb Shafto (G) 0.4%,

dentist Andy Barron (WI) 0.2%, Amanda Ulman (SW/WI),

Lt. Governor, 58.2% in '06, 2^nd term, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

union activist Linda Chavez-Thompson (D) 34.8%, David Dewhurst (R) 61.8%, realtor Scott L. Jameson (L) 2.5%,

Herb Gonzales Jr., (G) 0.9%,

Attorney General, 59.5% in '06, 2^nd term, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

'06 Senate nominee attorney Barbara Ann Radnofsky (D) 33.7%, Greg Abbott (R) 64.0%, retiree '06 nominee / '08 Senate candidate Jon Roland (L) 2.3%,

Comptroller, 59.4% in '06, 1^st term, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

No Democrat Susan Combs (R) 83.2%, '08 presidential candidate / '02 Senate nominee / author Mary J. Ruwart (L) 10.5%,

Edward "Ed" Lindsay (G) 6.3%,

Land Commissioner, 55.1% in '06, 2^nd term, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

ex-St. Sen. Hector Uribe (D) 35.3%, Jerry Patterson (R) 61.7%, land survoyer James L. Holder (L) 3.0%,

Agriculture Commissioner, 54.8% in '06 1^st term, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

'06 nominee / ex-school board member Henry "Hank" Gilbert (D) 35.8%, D. Todd Staples (R) 60.8%, farmer Rick Donaldson (L) 3.4%,

Railroad Commissioner, 55.5% in '04, Victor G. Carrillo (R) defeated in primary, 1^st term, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

attorney Jeff Weems (D) 36.2%, CPA David Porter (R) 59.4%, salesman Roger Gary (L) 2.9%,

Art Browning (G) 1.5%,

Railroad Commissioner, 54.0% in '06, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

Elizabeth Ames Jones (R),

Railroad Commissioner, 1^st term, 52.1% in '08, next election in 2012, might run for Senate, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

Michael L. Williams (R),

Senate 61.7% in '06, 3^rd term, next election in 2012, ran for Governor, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican,

'98 & /'02 Lt. Gov. nominee, ex-Comp. John Sharp (D), '08 nominee / ex-St. Rep. Richard J. "Rick" Noriega (D)?, Kay Bailey Hutchison (R),
Att. Gen. Gregg Abbott (R)?, Andrew P. Castanuela (R), ESPN analyst Craig James (R)?, Railroad Comm'r. Elizabeth Ames Jones (R), U.S. Rep. Kay Granger (R)?, Dallas Mayor Tom Leppert (R)?, Railroad Comm'r. Michael L. Williams (R)?, ex-Sec. of St. Roger Williams (R)?, engineer Chris Nelson (I), physician Alma Aguado (I),

Senate 54.8% in '08, 2^nd term, next election in 2014, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

John Cornyn (R),

1st Congressional District, 87.6% in '08, 3^rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

No Democrat Louis B. "Louie" Gohmert, Jr. (R) 89.7%, substitute teacher Charles F. Parkes III (L) 10.3%,

2nd Congressional District, 88.9% in '08, 3^rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

No Democrat Lloyd "Ted" Poe (R) 88.6%, programmer David W. Smith (L) 11.4%,

3rd Congressional District, 59.7% in '08, 10^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

software engineer John Lingenfelder (D) 31.3%, Sam Johnson (R) 66.3%, program manager Christopher J. Claytor (L) 2.4%,

retired pilot Harry Pierce (WI) 0.0%,

4th Congressional District, 68.8% in '08, 15^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

attorney / rancher VaLinda Hathcox (D) 22.0%, Ralph M. Hall (R) 73.2%, actor Jim D. Prindle (L) 2.5%,

community development dir. Shane Shepard (I) 2.3%,

5th Congressional District, 83.6% in '08, 4^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

retiree Tom Berry (D) 27.5%, Jeb Hensarling (R) 70.5%, '98, '00, '02, '04 nominee / retired teacher Ken Ashby (L) 2.0%,

6th Congressional District, 62.0% in '08, 13^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

software engineer David E. Cozad (D) 31.2%, Joe L. Barton (R) 65.9%, chemist Byron Severns (L) 2.9%,

7th Congressional District, 55.9% in '08, 5^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican,

No Democrat John A. Culberson (R) 81.4%, maritime agent Bob W. Townsend, II (L) 18.0%,

consultant Lissa Squiers (WI) 0.6%,

8th Congressional District, 72.6% in '08, 7^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

'08 nominee / non-profit director Kent Hargett (D) 17.2%, Kevin Brady (R) 80.3%, design engineer Bruce West (L) 2.5%,

9th Congressional District, 93.6% in '08, 3^rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic,

Al Green (D) 75.7%, project manager Steve Mueller (R) 22.9%, businessman Michael W. Hope (L) 1.4%,

10th Congressional District, 53.9% in '08, 3^rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican,

'06 nominee Ted Ankrum (D) 33.0%, Michael T. "Mike" McCaul (R) 64.7%, sales person Jeremiah "JP" Perkins (L) 2.3%,

11th Congressional District, 88.3% in '08, 3^rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

teacher James M. Quillian (D) 15.4%, K. Michael Conaway (R) 80.8%, retiree James A. Powell (L) 2.8%,

customer service rep. Jim Howe (G) 0.9%,

12th Congressional District, 67.6% in '08, 7^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

'08 nominee / real estate broker Tracey Smith (D) 25.1%, Kay Granger (R) 71.9%, IT consultant Matthew Solodow (L) 3.0%,

13th Congressional District, 77.6% in '08, 8^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

No Democrat William M. "Mac" Thornberry (R) 87.0%, inspector Keith Dyer (I) 8.6%,

businessman John T. Burwell, Jr. (L) 4.3%,

14th Congressional District, unopposed in '08, 7^th / 9^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

police chief Robert C. Pruett (D) 24.0%, Ronald E. "Ron" Paul (R) 76.0%,

15th Congressional District, 65.7% in '08, 7^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic,

Rubén Hinojosa (D) 55.7%, '08 nominee / sales exec. Eddie Zamora (R) 41.6%, physician Aaron I. Cohn (L) 2.7%,

16th Congressional District, 82.1% in '08, 7^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic,

Silvestre Reyes (D) 58.1%, navy vet / nurse Tim Besco (R) 36.6%, healtch care admin. Bill Collins (L) 5.1%,

sales manger Tim Collins (WI) 0.3%,

17th Congressional District, 50.6% in '08, 10^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Chris Cillizza: one of the most likely seats to switch parties, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Republican Favored, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, First Read’s Field of 64, The Hill's Race Ratings: Toss-up,

Thomas C. "Chet" Edwards (D) 36.6%, businessman Bill Flores (R) 61.8%, nuclear health physics tech. Richard B. Kelly (L) 1.6%,

18th Congressional District, 77.3% in '08, 8^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic,

Sheila Jackson Lee (D) 70.2%, '08 nominee / health care exec. John Faulk (R) 27.2%, retail manager Mike Taylor (L) 2.6%,

mediator Charles B. "ChuckM" Meyer (WI) 0.0%, Steve Warshell (SW/WI),

19th Congressional District, 72.4% in '08, 4^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

mechanical engineer Andy Wilson (D) 19.0%, Randy Neugebauer (R) 77.8%, prof. '03 & '04 & '08 nominee Richard "Chip" Peterson (L) 3.2%,

20th Congressional District, 71.9% in '08, 6^rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic,

Charlie A. Gonzalez (D) 63.6%, attorney Clayton Trotter (R) 34.4%, ex-Navy Officer Michael "Commander" Idrogo (L) 1.9%,

21st Congressional District, 80.0% in '08, 12^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

real estate broker Lainey Melnick (D) 27.9%, Lamar S. Smith (R) 68.9%, tech writer James Arthur Strohm (L) 3.2%,

22nd Congressional District, 52.4% in '08, 1^st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican,

LaRouche supporter Kesha Rogers (D) 29.8%, Pete Olson (R) 67.5%, technician Steven Susman (L) 2.6%,

businessman Johnny Williams (WI) 0.0%,

23rd Congressional District, 55.8% in '08, 2^nd / 6^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Democrat, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, First Read’s Field of 64, The Hill's Race Ratings: Likely Democratic,

Ciro D. Rodriguez (D) 44.4%, '08 candidate / attorney Francisco "Quico" Canseco (R) 49.4%, businessman Craig T. Stephens (I) 3.6%,

software developer Martin Nitschke (L) 1.6%,

Ed Scharf (G) 0.9%,

24th Congressional District, 55.9% in '08, 3^rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

No Democrat Kenny E. Marchant (R) 81.6%, educator David Sparks (L) 18.4%,

25th Congressional District, 65.8% in '08, 8^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic,

Lloyd Doggett (D) 52.8%, Dr. Donna Campbell (R) 44.8%, retiree Jim Stutsman (L) 2.3%,

26th Congressional District, 60.2% in '08, 4^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

attorney Neil L. Durrance (D) 30.7%, Michael C. Burgess (R) 67.1%, architect Mark Boler (L) 2.2%,

27th Congressional District, 57.9% in '08, 14^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Democrat Favored,

Solomon P. Ortiz (D) 47.1%, computer consultant R. Blake Farenthold (R) 47.8%, pilot Ed Mishou (L) 5.0%,

28th Congressional District, 68.7% in '08, 3^rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic,

Henry Cuellar (D) 56.3%, contractor Bryan Underwood (R) 41.9%, product designer Stephen Kaat (L) 1.7%,

29th Congressional District, 74.6% in '08, 9^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic,

Raymond E. "Gene" Green (D) 64.6%, consultant Roy Morales (R) 34.1%, attorney Brad Walters (L) 1.3%,

30th Congressional District, 82.5% in '08, 9^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic,

Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) 75.7%, pastor Stephen E. Broden (R) 21.6%, retiree J. B. Oswalt (L) 2.6%,

31st Congressional District, 60.3% in '08, 4^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,

No Democrat John R. Carter (R) 82.5%, software developer Bill Oliver (L) 17.5%,

32nd Congressional District, 57.2% in '08, 7^th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, The Hill's Race Ratings: Worth Watching,

attorney Grier Raggio (D) 34.9%, Pete Sessions (R) 62.6%, businessman John Jay Myers (L) 2.5%,

1. Link to Predictions:

D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
National Journal's Rankings,
Rothenberg Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.

= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,

= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,

= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control

Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.

Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.

Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Texas Political Parties:
(AR) = American Reform Party
(Com) = Communist Party
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(I) = Independence Party (L) = Libertarian Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(SIP) = Southern Independent Party
(WW) = Workers World Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates

4. Texas Media Links:
Abilene Reporter-News
Aledo Community News
Allen American
Alpine Observer
Amarillo Globe Times
Angleton Times
Arlington Morning News
Athens Daily Review
Austin American-Statesman
Austin Business Journal
Austin Chronicle
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Mt. Pleasant Daily Tribune
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New Braunfels Herald-Zeitung
NewsLink.org: Texas
Odessa American
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Pasadena Citizen
Pecos Enterprise
Plainview Daily Herald Plano Star Courier
Pleasanton Express
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Polk County Enterprise
QuorumReport.com
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