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Missouri Secretary of State - Elections
2004 Missouri Congressional and Statewide Races
Presidential Primary Filing Deadline 11/18/03, Presidential Primary: 2/3/04, Filing Deadline: 3/30/04, Primary: 8/3/04, Filing Deadline for Independents: 8/17/04,
Last Updated: December 24, 2004 |
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties, |
President, 50.4% in '00, 1st term, Current Polls D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Bush, Cook Political Report: Bush, Washington Post: Battleground State, Washington Times: Battleground, John Zogby: In Play, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 10:9 Bush, |
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 46.1%, |
George W. Bush (R) 53.3%, |
Michael Badnarik (L) 0.4%, |
Mike Peroutka (C) 0.2%, |
Ralph Nader (WI) 0.04%, |
Governor, 49.1% in '00, 1st term, Bob Holden (D) defeated in Primary, next election in 2004, Current Polls D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Larry Sabato: Leans Republican, Congressional Quarterly: No Clear Favorite, |
St. Auditor Claire C. McCaskill (D) 47.9%, |
Sec. of St. Matt Blunt (R) 50.8%, |
'00 nominee John M. Swenson (L) 0.9%, |
'00 nominee Robert Wells (C) 0.4%, |
Kenneth J. Johnson (WI) 0.002%, |
Lt. Governor, 52.1% in '00, Joe Maxwell (D) retiring after 1st term, next election in 2004, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, |
attorney / ex-Sec. of St. Rebecca McDowell "Bekki" Cook (D) 48.4%, |
St. Sen. Peter Kinder (R) 48.9%, |
corporate recruiter Mike Ferguson (L) 2.0%, |
Bruce Hillis (C) 0.6%, |
Attorney General, 60.3% in '00, next election in 2004 D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, |
Jeremiah W. "Jay" Nixon (D) 60.0%, |
attorney Chris W. Byrd (R) 37.7%, |
attorney David R. Browning (L) 1.6%, |
David Fry (C) 0.7%, |
Secretary of State, 51.4% in '00, 1st term, Matt Blunt (R) running for Governor, next election in 2004, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, |
attorney Robin Carnahan (D) 51.1%, |
St. Rep. Catherine L. Hanaway (R) 46.4%, |
businessman Christopher Davis (L) 1.9%, |
'00 nominee Donna L. Ivanovich (C) 0.6%, |
Treasurer, 51.5% in '00, Nancy Farmer (D) running for U.S. Senate after 1st term, next election in 2004 D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, |
Arnold Mayor Mark Powell (D) 46.1%, |
St. Sen. Sarah Steelman (R) 51.0%, |
consultant Lisa J. Emerson (L) 2.3%, |
Chris Fluharty (C) 0.7%, |
Senator, 52.7% in '98, 3rd term, Next election in 2004, Current Polls D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Larry Sabato: Likely Republican, John J. Miller: Likely Republican, New York Times: Remains Republican, Congressional Quarterly: Republican Favored, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 4:3 Republican, |
St. Treas. Nancy Farmer (D) 42.8%, |
Christopher "Kit" Bond (R) 56.1%, |
graphic designer Kevin Tull (L) 0.7%, |
Don Griffin (C) 0.4%, |
1st Congressional District, 70.1% in '02, 2nd term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 10:1 Democrat, |
William L. "Lacy" Clay Jr. (D) 75.3%, |
train conductor Leslie L. Farr, II (R) 22.8%, |
Terry Chadwick (L) 1.4%, |
Robert Rehbein (C) 0.5%, |
2nd Congressional District, 67.1% in '02, 2nd term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican, |
ex-St. Rep. / '98 Reform Party St. Auditor nominee / '00 Reform Party Lt. Gov. nominee / '00 Reform party Presidential candidate George D. "Boots" Weber (D) 33.0%, |
W. Todd Akin (R) 65.4%, |
'02 nominee Darla R. Maloney (L) 1.4%, |
David Leefe (C) 0.3%, |
3rd Congressional District, 59.1% in '02, 14th term, Richard A. "Dick" Gephardt (D) ran for President D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, |
St. Rep. Russ Carnahan (D) 52.9%, |
'98 & '00 nominee / author / historian Willliam J. "Bill" Federer (R) 45.1%, |
Kevin C. Babcock (L) 1.6%, |
William J. Renaud (C) 0.4%, |
Joseph Badaracco (WI), |
4th Congressional District, 67.6% in '02, 14th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Democrat, |
Ike Skelton (D) 66.2%, |
ex-St. Sen. / '94 & '00 & '02 nominee James Alfred "Jim" Noland Jr. (R) 32.4%, |
Bill Lower (L) 1.0%, |
Raymond Lister (C) 0.4%, |
5th Congressional District, 65.9% in '02, Karen McCarthy (D) retiring afer 5th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat, |
ex-Kansas City Mayor Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D) 55.2%, |
businesswoman Jeanne Patterson (R) 42.1%, |
realtor Rick Bailie (L) 2.0%, |
Darin Rodenberg (C) 0.7%, |
6th Congressional District, 63.0% in '02, 2nd term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, |
ex-Co. Comm'r. / ex-St. Rep. Charlie Broomfield (D) 34.8%, |
Samuel B. "Sam" Graves, Jr. (R) 63.8%, |
teacher / '02 nominee Erik S. Buck (L) 1.4%, |
7th Congressional District, 74.8% in '02, 4th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican, |
attorney / veteran Jim Newberry (D) 28.3%, |
Roy Blunt (R) 70.4%, |
paralegal / '02 California Congressional nominee Kevin Craig (L) 0.9%, |
Steve Alger (C) 0.3%, |
8th Congressional District, 71.8% in '02, 4th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican, |
Dean Henderson (D) 26.6%, |
Jo Ann H. Emerson (R) 72.2%, |
Stan Cuff (L) 0.7%, |
Leonard J. Davidson (C) 0.5%, |
9th Congressional District, 68.2% in '02, 4th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:1 Republican, |
consultant Linda Jacobsen (D) 33.8%, |
Kenny C. Hulshof (R) 64.6%, |
Tamara Millay (L) 1.1%, |
Chris Earl (C) 0.5%, |
1. Link to Predictions:
2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, |
= Democrats take over control, |
= Republican retain control, |
= Republicans take over control, |
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, |
= Independent / 3rd Party take over control |
Bold indicates incumbent. |
Yellow district indicates open races. |
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. |
Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control. |
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. |
Red boxes indicates Republicans took control. |
3. Key to Missouri Political Parties:
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