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Arizona Secretary of State - Election Department
2000 Arizona Presidential and Congressional Results
Filing Deadline: 6/14/00, Primary: 9/12/00
Last Updated: December 14, 2000
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
President, William J. Clinton (D) barred from 3rd term, 46.5% in '96
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Republican, Others' Predictions,
Albert A. "Al" Gore, Jr. (D) 44.73% George W. "Dubya" Bush (R) 51.02% Ralph Nader (G) 2.98%, Patrick J. 'Pat' Buchanan (Rfm) 0.81%, L. Neil Smith (L) 0.38%, John S. Hagelin (NL) 0.07%, Howard Phillips (WI) 0.01%,
Senator, 54% in '94, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 100% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Stuart Rothenberg's rating: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report's overview: Solid Republican, Political Junkie: Republican, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican, Ken Rubin: Republican
No Democrat John Kyl (R) 79.1% businessman Barry J. Hess II (L) 5.1%, retired professor Vance Hansen (G) 7.9%, banker / college instructor William Toel (I) 7.9%,
1st Congressional District, 64.6% in '98, 3rd term, Matt Salmon (R) retiring
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:3 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Open Seat, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,
'98 nominee / lobbyist David Mendoza (D) 43.0% exec. dir. of the Goldwater Institute Jeffrey Flake (R) 52.9% Jon Burroughs (L) 4.0%,
2nd Congressional District, 67.8% in '98, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Ed Pastor (D) 68.3% businessman Bill Barenholtz (R) 27.2% Geoffrey Weber (L) 2.6%, Barbara Shelor (NL) 1.9%,
3rd Congressional District, 67.3% in '98, 12th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
teacher Gene Paul Scharer (D) 31.7% Bob Stump (R) 65.3% Edward R. Carlson (L) 3.0%,
4th Congressional District, 64.7% in '98, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
'98 write in candidate Benjamin "Ben" Jankowski (D) 33.0% John Shadegg (R) 63.7% '98 nominee / restaurant owner Ernest Hancock (L) 3.3%,
5th Congressional District, 51.6% in '98, 8th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report's overview: Likely Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Four Veteran, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,
St. Sen. George Cunningham (D) 35.5% Jim Kolbe (R) 60.1% pilot Aage Nost (L) 1.4%, attorney Michael Jay Green (G) 3.1%,
6th Congressional District, 53.0% in '98, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Four Veteran,
steelworkers union representative Larry Nelson (D) 36.4% J.D. Hayworth (R) 60.7% Richard Duncan (L) 3.0%,

1. Link to Predictions: (D.C.'s Political Report no longer assures that these links are active)
ABC News,
The Associated Press,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
Congressional Quarterly Magazine,
The Cook Political Report,
D.C.'s Political Report,
Ron Gunzburger,
The National Journal's and The Hotline's Hotline Scoop.com,
Peter J. M. Orvetti,
Roll Call,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Ken Rubin,

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red boxes indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(I/A) = Independent American Party - Affiliated with Constitution Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(NL) = Natural Law Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright ª 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.