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Oregon Secretary of State - Elections Division

2010 Oregon Congressional and Statewide Races
Primary Filing Deadline: 3/9/10, Primary: 5/18/10, Independent / Alternative Party Filing Deadline: 8/26/10, General Election: 11/2/10,
Last Updated: November 29, 2010

Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties, State Media,
Governor, 50.8% in '06, Theodore R. "Ted" Kulongoski (D) barred from 3rd term, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Rasmussen Reports' Gubernatorial Scorecard: Toss-Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Pure Toss Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican,
ex-Gov. John A. Kitzhaber (D, Ind) 49.3%, ex-pro basketball player Chris Dudley (R) 47.8%, contractor Greg Kord (C) 1.4%,
systems adminsitrator Wes W. Wagner (L) 1.3%,
write-in votes 0.2%, artistic photographer Richard A. Esterman (WI), CEO Jerry Wilson (Pr/WI),
Attorney General, 1st term, 72.6% in '08, next election in 2012
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic
John R. Kroger (D),
Secretary of State 51.0% in '08, 1st term, next election in 2012,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Kate Brown (D),
Treasurer, 51.1% in '08, 1st term, Ben Westlund (D, Ind) died 3/7/2010, Special election in 2010, next general election in 2012
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
ex-Co. Chair Ted Wheeler (D, WF) 52.9%, St. Sen. Chris Telfer (R) 41.9%, '04 Socialist Party Presidential nominee / '08 Treas candidate / ex-St. Sen. Walter F. "Walt" Brown (Pr) 2.8%,
'08 nominee / McDonald's employee Michael Marsh (C) 2.2%,
write-in votes 0.1%,
Labor Commissioner (non-partisan), 67.2% in 2008, 1st term, Next election in 2010
Brad Avakian (D),
Education Superintendent (non-partisan), 51.4% in 2010, 2nd term, Next election in 2010
Susan Castillo (D),
Senator, 63.4% in '04, 3rd term, Next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Rasmussen Reports' Balance of Power: Solid Democrat, Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Democrat, Ken Rubin: Safe Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic, The Hill's Race Ratings: Safe Democratic,
Ron Wyden (D) 57.2%, law prof. Jim Huffman (R) 39.3%, retired electrician Bruce Cronk (WF) 1.3%,
financial planner Marc Delphine (L) 1.1%,
psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg (Pr) 1.0%,
write-in votes 0.1%,
Senator, 48.9% in '08, 1st term, next election in 2014, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Jeff Merkley (D) ,
1st Congressional District, 71.8% in '08, 6th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Likely Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, The Hill's Race Ratings: Worth Watching,
David Wu (D) 54.8%, consultant Rob Cornilles (R) 41.9%, research chemist Donald H. LaMunyon (C) 1.3%,
party activist Chris Henry (Pac, Pr) 1.0%,
'08 nominee / consultant H. Joe Tabor (L) 0.9%,
write-in votes 0.1%,
2nd Congressional District, 69.6% in '08 6th term, might run for Governor, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,
businesswoman Joyce B. Segers (D) 25.9%, Greg Walden (R) 73.9%, write in 0.2%,
3rd Congressional District, 74.6% in '08, 8th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic,
Earl Blumenauer (D) 70.0%, '08 nominee / real estate investor Delia Lopez (R) 24.6%, service director Jeffrey T. "Jeff" Lawrence (L, Ind) 3.0%,
'08 nominee / teacher Michael Meo (Pac, Pr) 2.2%,
write-in votes 0.2%,
4th Congressional District, 82.4% in '08, 12th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Safe Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic,
Peter A. "Pete" DeFazio (D, Pr, WF) 54.5%, chemist Art Robinson (R, C, Ind) 43.6%, chemist '08 Green Party nominee Mike Beilstein (Pac) 1.7%,
write-in votes 0.2%,
5th Congressional District, 54.3% in '08, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Pure Toss-Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Democratic, The Hill's Race Ratings: Likely Democratic,
Kurt Schrader (D) 51.2%, St. Rep. Scott Bruun (R, Ind) 46.0%, '06 & '08 Tennessee Senate candidate Christopher "Chris" Lugo (Pac, Pr) 2.7%,
write-in votes 0.1%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
National Journal's Rankings,
Rothenberg Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Oregon Political Parties:
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(Ind) = Independent Party
(Labor) = Labor Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(Pac) = Pacific Green Party
- Affiliated with the Green Party
(PR) = Progressive Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(WF) = Working Families Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates

4. Oregon Media Links:
Ashland Daily Tidings
Bend Bulletin
Corvallis Gazette-Times
Curry Coastal Pilot
Curry County Reporter
Daily Astorian
East Oregonian
Eugene Register-Guard
Eugene Weekly
Gresham Outlook
Hermiston Herald
KATU TV-2
KOTI TV-2
KGW TV-8
Klamath Falls Herald & News
KMTR TV-16
KOIN TV-6
KVAL TV
Lebanon Express
Lincoln City News-Guard
Medford Mail Tribune
McMinnville News-Register
Newport Times-News
Portland Business Journal
Portland Oregonian
Portland Skanner
Roseburg News-Review
Salem Stateman Journal
Seaside Signal
Sisters Nugget
South Coast World
Springfield News
Tillamook Headlight-Herald
Wallowa County Chieftain
Willamette Weekly
Woodburn Independent


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