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Kentucky State Board of Elections
2006 Kentucky Congressional Races
2007 Kentucky Statewide Races

Filing Deadline: 1/31/06, Primary: 5/16/06, Independent Filing Deadline: 8/8/06, Write-In Filing Deadline 10/27/06, General Election 11/7/06,
Last Updated: December 2, 2006
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
1st Congressional District, 67.4% in '04, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
U.S. Rep. Tom Barlow (D) 40.4%, Edward "Ed" Whitfield (R) 59.6%,
2nd Congressional District, 67.9% in '04, 7th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Republican Favored, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican,
St. Rep. John Michael "Mike" Weaver (D) 44.6%, Ron Lewis (R) 55.4%,
3rd Congressional District, 60.3% in '04, 5rd term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Leans Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up, Chuck Todd: 36th Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Tossup,
ex-newspaper publisher John Yarmuth (D) 50.6%, Anne M. Northup (R) 48.2%, Donna Walker Mancini (L) 0.9%,
W. Ed. Parker (C) 0.3%,
4th Congressional District, 54.4% in '04, 1st term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Chris Cillizza: 19th Most Likely Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Leans Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Tossup, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss Up / Tilt Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up, Chuck Todd: 37th Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Tossup,
ex-U.S. Rep. Ken Lucas (D) 43.4%, Geoffrey C. Davis (R) 51.7%, investment adviser Brian Houillion (L) 4.9%,
5th Congressional District, unopposed in '04, 13th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
Kenneth Stepp (D) 26.2%, Harold "Hal" Rogers (R) 73.8%,
6th Congressional District, 58.6% in '04, 1st Full term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
A.B. "Ben" Chandler III (D) 85.5%, No Republican
advertising exec. Elaine Sue Carlson (R) withdrew,
Paul Ard (L) 14.5%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
Roll Call Analysis,
National Journal's Chuck Todd,
Rothenberg Political Report,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Kentucky Political Parties:
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(L) = Libertarian Party

(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright ª 1998-2006 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.