D.C.'s Political Report: Washington Congressional and Statewide Races

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Washington Secretary of State - Elections Division

2006 Washington Congressional and Statewide Races Last Day for Minor Party Convention: ??, Primary Filing Deadline: 7/28/06, Primary: 9/19/06, Independent Filing Deadline: 7/28/06, General Election 11/7/06, Last Updated: December 2, 2006
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
Senator, 48.72% in '00, 1^st term, Polls D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Chris Cillizza: 10th Most Likely Senate Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Lean Democrat, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Leans Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Clear Advantage Democrat, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Democratic, Chuck Todd: 13th most vulnerable Senator, Scott Rasmussen's Balance of Power: Democrat,
Maria Cantwell (D) 56.9%,	Safeco CEO Mike McGavick (R) 39.9%,	'04 Congressional candidate / prof. Bruce Guthrie (L) 1.4%,
		Black Panther Aaron Dixon (G) 1.0%,
		Robin Adair (I) 0.7%,
		David Rosenfeld (SW/WI),
1st Congressional District, 62.3% in '04, 4^th term, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Jay Inslee (D) 67.7%,	Larry W. Ishmael (R) 32.3%,
2nd Congressional District, 63.9% in '04, 3^rd term, Polls D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid Democratic,
Richard Ray "Rick" Larsen (D) 64.2%,	retired Navy Capt. Doug Roulstone (R) 35.8%,
3rd Congressional District, 61.9% in '04, 4^th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Brian Baird (D) 63.1%,	Michael Messmore (R) 36.9%,
4th Congressional District, 62.6% in '04, 6^th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
physical therapy clinic chain owner / '04 candidate Richard K. Wright (D) 40.1%,	Richard "Doc" Hastings (R) 59.9%,
5th Congressional District, 59.7% in '04, 1^st term, Polls D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican, Chuck Todd: 53rd Most Vulnerable House Seat,
rancher Peter J. Goldmark (D) 43.6%,	Cathy McMorris (R) 55.4%,
6th Congressional District, 69.0% in '04, 15^th term, might retire D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Norman D. Dicks (D) 70.6%,	'04 nominee / Doug Cloud (R) 29.4%,
7th Congressional District, 80.7% in '04, 9^th term, might retire D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Jim McDermott (D) 79.4%,	Steve Beren (R) 15.7%,	Linnea S. Noreen (I) 4.9%,
		Connie Allen (SW/WI),
8th Congressional District, 51.5% in '04, 1^st term, Polls, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Leans Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Tossup, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up, Chuck Todd: 26th Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Tossup,
ex-Microsoft exec. Darcy Burner (D) 48.5%,	Dave Reichert (R) 51.5%,
9th Congressional District, 63.3% in '04, 5^th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Adam Smith (D) 65.7%,	electrical contractor & USAF Veteran Steven C. "Steve" Cofchin (R) 34.3%,

1. Link to Predictions:

D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
Roll Call Analysis,
National Journal's Chuck Todd,
Rothenberg Political Report,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.

= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,

= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,

= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control

Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.

Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.

Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Washington Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates (L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates