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New Jersey Department of Law and Public Safety - Division of Elections
2006 New Jersey Congressional
Primary Filing Deadline: April 10, 2006, Primary: 6/6/06, Independent Filing Deadline: 6/6/06, General Election 11/7/06,
Last Updated: December 2, 2006
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
Senator, appointed to succeed Corzine (D) who received 50.6% in '00, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Chris Cillizza: 6th Most Likely Senate Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Leans Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Tossup, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up, Stu Rothenberg: Toss Up Chuck Todd: 8th most vulnerable Senator, Scott Rasmussen's Balance of Power: Lean Democratic, Washington Post's Countdown: Leans Democrat,
Robert "Bob" Menendez (D) 51.2%, St. Sen. Thomas H. Kean Jr. (R) 44.5%, Leonard "Len" Flynn (L) 0.7%,
'98 & '00 congressional nominee / marijuana legalization activist Edward "Rob" Forchion (M) 0.5%,
'00 candidate J.M. Carter (I) 0.4%,
N. Leonard Smith (I) 0.3%,
'05 Gov. nominee Angela L. Lariscy (SW) 0.2%,
'04 Green Party congressional candidate Daryl Mikell Brooks (I) 0.2%,
'00 & '02 Senate nominee / '94 congressional nominee / '04 congressional nominee Gregory "Greg" Pason (S) 0.1%,
Anthony B. Fisher (WI),
1st Congressional District, 75.0% in '04, 8th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Robert E. Andrews (D) 100%, No Republican
2nd Congressional District, 65.1% in '04, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
Deputy Mayor Viola Thomas-Hughes (D) 35.4%, Frank A. LoBiondo (R) 61.8%, Robert E. Mullock (I) 1.7%,
Lynn Merle (I) 0.5%,
Thomas Fanslau (We The People) 0.3%,
Willie Norwood (S) 0.2%,
3rd Congressional District, 63.4% in '04, 11th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
Richard Sexton (D) 40.9%, Hugh J. "Jim" Saxton (R) 58.5%, artist / '00 Reform Party nominee / '02 America First Party nominee comic book colorist Ken Feduniewicz (Patriot) 0.6%
4th Congressional District, 67.0% in '04, 13th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
Carol E. Gay (D) 33.2%, Christopher H. Smith (R) 65.7%, '04 nominee / software engineer Richard "Jay" Edgar (L) 0.8%,
Louis B. Wary, Jr. (I) 0.3%,
5th Congressional District, 57.6% in '04, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican,
PR exec. Paul Aronsohn (D) 43.6%, E. Scott Garrett (R) 55.1%, R. Matthew Fretz (I) 1.3%,
6th Congressional District, 66.9% in '04, 10th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Frank E. Pallone, Jr. (D) 68.5%, Leigh-Ann Bellew (R) 30.4%, Herbert L. Tarbous (I) 1.1%,
7th Congressional District, 56.9% in '04, 3rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Lean Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, Chuck Todd: 46th Most Vulnerable House Seat,
St. AM Linda Stender (D) 47.8%, Michael A. "Mike" Ferguson (R) 49.5%, '02 candidate / anti-war activist / marketing director Thomas D. "Tom" Abrams (I) 1.6%,
'02 candidate / mortgage co. V.P. Darren A. Young (L) 1.0%,
8th Congressional District, 69.5% in '04, 5th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
William J. "Bill" Pascrell Jr. (D) 70.9%, businessman Jose M. Sandoval (R) 28.3%, Lou Jasikoff (L) 0.7%,
9th Congressional District, 67.5% in '04, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Steven R. Rothman (D) 71.2%, Iraqi War veteran Vincent "Vince" Micco (R) 27.8%, Michael Jarvis (I) 1.0%,
10th Congressional District, 96.9% in '04, 9th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Donald M. Payne (D) 100%, No Republican
11th Congressional District, 67.9% in '04, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
project manager Tom Wyka (D) 36.6%, Rodney P. Frelinghuysen (R) 62.1%, '02 nominee financial advisor Richard S. Roth (L) 0.8%,
'04 candidate / anti-immigration activist John Mele (C) 0.4%,
12th Congressional District, 59.2% in '04, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Rush Dew Holt (D) 65.4%, Joseph S. Sinagra (R) 34.6%,
13th Congressional District, 76.2% in '04, 8th term, Robert Menendez (D) appointed to the U.S. Senate, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Assemb. Speaker Albio Sires (D) 76.4%, John J. Guarini (R) 20.4%, '02 & '04 nominee / actuary Dick Hester (Cns) 0.6%,
candidate '92, '94, '96, '00, '02 & '04 candidate / engineer Herbert H. Shaw (I) 1.0%,
Brian Williams (SW) 1.2%,
'02 candidate / Coptic community activist Esmat Zaklama (A) 0.5%,
James Mercante (WI),
13th Congressional District SPECIAL ELECTION, 76.2% in '04, 8th term, Robert Menendez (D) appointed to the U.S. Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Assemb. Speaker Albio Sires (D) 96.6%, No Republican '02 & '04 nominee / actuary Dick Hester (Cns) 3.4%,
James Mercante (I),

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
Roll Call Analysis,
National Journal's Chuck Todd,
Rothenberg Political Report,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to New Jersey Political Parties:
(A) = American Party
(Cns) = Conservative Party
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(M) = Legalize Marijuana Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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