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Florida Department of State - Division of Elections
2006 Florida Congressional and Statewide Races
Federal Filing Deadline: 5/12/06, State Filing Deadline: 7/14/06, Federal Independent Filing Deadline: 4/10/06, State Independent Filing Deadline: 7/18/06, Primary: 9/5/06, General Election 11/7/06,
Last Updated: December 2, 2006
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
Governor, 56.0% in '02, John Ellis "Jeb" Bush (R) barred from 3rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Clear Advanatge Republican, Chuck Todd: 21st Most Vulnerable Governor,
U.S. Rep. Jim Davis (D) 45.1%, Att. Gen. Charlie Crist (R) 52.2%, Max Linn (Rfm) 1.9%,
veteran John Wayne Smith (L) 0.3%,
Atlee Yarrow (S),
civil engineer Richard P. Dembinsky (I) 0.2%,
Karl C.C. Behm (I) 0.2%,
prof. / consultant Piotr Blass (WI) 0%, Omari Musa (SW/WI) 0%, Wilfredo Papa-Roqui Maneiro, II (WI) 0.0%, C.C. Reed (WI) 0.0%, Robert O. "Bob" Wirengard (WI) 0.0%,
Lt. Governor - Tied with Gov., 56.0% in '02, 2nd term, barred from 3rd term, Frank T. Brogan (R) resigning 3/1/03 to become president of Florida Atlantic Univ., ex-St. Sen. Toni Jennings (R) not running,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
'02 Gov. cand. / ex-St. Sen. Daryl L. Jones (D) 45.1%, St. Rep. Jeffrey D. "Jeff" Kottkamp (R) 52.2%, Tom Macklin (Rfm) 1.9%,
Dr. Joe Smith (I) 0.2%,
James J. Kearney (L) 0.3%,
Carol Castagnero (I) 0.2%,
Attorney General, 53.4% in '02, 1st term, Charlie Crist (R) running for Governor, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
St. Sen. Walter "Skip" Campbell Jr. (D) 47.3%, ex-U.S. Rep. / '00 & '04 Senate candidate Ira William "Bill" McCollum (R) 52.7%,
Chief Financial Officer, unopposed in '02, 1st term, Tom Gallagher (R) running for Governor, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
ex-Bank of America CEO Adelaide "Alex" Sink (D) 53.5%, St. Sen. Tom Lee (R) 46.5%,
Agriculture Commissioner, 57.4% in '02, 1st term, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
attorney Eric Copeland (D) 43.0%, Charles H. "Charlie" Bronson (R) 57.0%,
Senator, 51.0% in '00, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Democrat, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid Democratic, Chuck Todd: 16th least vulnerable Senator, Scott Rasmussen's Balance of Power: Democrat,
Bill Nelson (D) 60.3%, U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris (R) 38.1%, attorney Belinda Noah (I) 0.5%,
exec. recruiter Brian Moore (G) 0.4%,
Floyd Ray Frazier (I) 0.3%,
Roy Tanner (I) 0.3%,
Lawrence Sidney Scott (WI) 0.0%, Bernard Senter (SW/WI) 0.0%,
1st Congressional District, 76.5% in '04, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
carpenter / Vietnam vet. Joe Roberts (D) 31.5%, Jefferson B. "Jeff" Miller (R) 68.5%,
2nd Congressional District, 61.6% in '04, 5th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
F. Allen Boyd Jr (D), No Republican
3rd Congressional District, 99.2% in '04, 7th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Corrine Brown (D), No Republican
4th Congressional District, 99.5% in '04, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
mortgage co. owner Robert J. "Bob" Harms (D) 30.3%, Ander Crenshaw (R) 60.7%, John Blade (WI) 0.0%,
5th Congressional District, 65.9% in '04, 2nd term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican,
'04 candidate / nurse John T. Russell (D) 40.1%, Virginia "Ginny" Brown-Waite (R) 59.9%,
6th Congressional District, 64.4% in '04, 9th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
environmental engineer / '02 & '04 nominee David E. Bruderly (D) 40.1%, Clifford B. "Cliff" Stearns (R) 59.9%,
7th Congressional District, unopposed in '04, 7th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
John F. "Jack" Chagnon (D) 36.9%, John L. Mica (R) 63.1%,
8th Congressional District, 60.5% in '04, 3rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican,
consultant Charlie Stuart (D) 45.7%, Richard Anthony "Ric" Keller (R) 52.8%, Wesley A. Hoaglund (I) 1.5%,
Clay O. Hill (WI) 0%, D. J. Mauro (WI) 0%, Larry Sapp (WI) 0%,
9th Congressional District, 99.9% in '04, Michael Bilirakis (R) retiring after 13th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican,
ex-Co. Com'r. Phyllis Busansky (D) 44.1%, St. Rep. Gus Michael Bilirakis (R) 55.9%, Andrew Pasayan (WI) 0%,
10th Congressional District, 69.3% in '04, 18th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
cable tv producer Samm Simpson (D) 34.1%, C.W. "Bill" Young (R) 65.9%, Salvatore A. Fiorella (WI) 0.0%,
11th Congressional District, 85.8% in '04, 5th term, Jim Davis (D) running for Governor, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Co. Comm'r. Katherine Anne "Kathy" Castor (D) 69.7%, architect Eddie Adams, Jr. (R) 30.3%, accountant Jim Greenwald (WI) 0.0%, R. J. Spencer (WI) 0.0%,
12th Congressional District, 64.9% in '04, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
No Democrat Adam Hughes Putnam (R) 69.1%, USMC vet Ed Bowlin III (I) 11.5%,
Joe Viscusi (I) 19.4%,
13th Congressional District, 55.3% in '04, 2nd, Katherine Harris (R) running for Senate, polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: 24th Most Likely Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Leans Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Toss Up, Roll Call Analysis: Leans Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss Up / Tilt Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democrat, Chuck Todd: 19th Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Tossup,
ex-bank president / '04 candidate Christine L. Jennings (D) 49.9%, businessman Vern Buchanan (R) 50.1%,
14th Congressional District, 67.5% in '04, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
businessman Robert M. Neeld (D) 35.6%, Connie Mack, IV (R) 64.4%, Dan (WI) 0.0%, Richard Grayson (WI) 0.0%,
15th Congressional District, 65.4% in '04, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
Dr. Bob Bowman (D) 43.7%, David J. Weldon (R) 56.3%,
16th Congressional District, 68.0% in '04, 6th term, Mark Adam Foley resigned 9/29/06 but name will still be on the ballot, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democrats, Chris Cillizza: 9th Most Likely Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Leans Republican, New York Times Ratings: Toss up, Roll Call Analysis: Tossup, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up, Chuck Todd: 12th Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Tossup,
venture capitalist Timothy Mahoney (D) 49.5%, St. Rep. Joe Negron (R) 47.7%,
Mark Adam Foley (R) resigend 9/28/06 but his name, not Negron's, will still be on the ballot
political consultant Emmie Lee Ross (I) 2.8%,
17th Congressional District, 99.6% in '04, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Kendrick B. Meek (D) 100%, No Republican Eric Simpson (SW/WI) 0.0%,
18th Congressional District, 64.7% in '04, 9th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
community activist David "Big Dave" Patlak (D) 37.9%, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) 62.1%, Margaret Trowe (SW/WI) 0.0%,
19th Congressional District, unopposed in '04, 5rd term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Robert Wexler (D) 100%, No Republican
20th Congressional District, 70.2% in '04, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) 100%, No Republican
21st Congressional District, 72.8% in '04, 7th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
airline employee / '02 Illinois Congressional nominee / '04 Libertarian nominee Frank J. Gonzalez (D) 40.5%, Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) 59.5%,
22nd Congressional District, 62.8% in '04, 13th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: 16th Most Likely Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Leans Republican, New York Times Ratings: Toss Up, Roll Call Analysis: Tossup, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up, Chuck Todd: 22nd Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Tossup,
St. Sen. Ron Klein (D) 50.9%, E. Clay Shaw, Jr. (R) 47.1%, Neil J. Evangelista (L) 2.0%,
23rd Congressional District, unopposed in '04, 7th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Alcee L. Hastings (D) 100%, No Republican
24th Congressional District, unopposed in '04, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
Clint Curtis (D) 42.1%, Tom Feeney (R) 57.9%,
25th Congressional District, unopposed in '04, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
Michael Calderin (D) 41.5%, Mario Diaz-Balart (R) 58.5%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
Roll Call Analysis,
National Journal's Chuck Todd,
Rothenberg Political Report,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Florida Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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