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Arizona Map, Link to Arizona's Home Page Arizona Flag, Link to Arizona's Home Page
Arizona Secretary of State - Election Department
2006 Arizona Congressional and Statewide Races
New Party Filing Deadline 3/16/06, Primary Filing Deadline: 6/14/06, Independent Filing Period 6/14/06, Primary Write-in Deadline 8/3/06, Primary: 9/12/06, Write-In Deadline 9/28/06, General Election: 11/7/06,
Last Updated: December 2, 2006
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
Governor, 46.2% in '02, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Democrat Favored, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Democrat, Chuck Todd: 14th Least Vulnerable Governor,
Janet Napolitano (D) 62.6%, conservative activist Len Munsil (R) 35.4%, 2000 presidential candidate / '00 Senate nominee / '02 Gov. nominee / businessman Barry J. Hess, II (L) 2.0%,
Arthur Ray Arvizu (WI) 0.0%, Robert B. Winn (WI) 0.0%, Brian "Mr. Wright" Wright (WI) 0.0%,
Secretary of State, 49.4% in '02, 1st term, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
dir. of contractor resistar Israel Torres (D) 39.4%, Jan Brewer (R) 57.2%, Ernest Hancock (L) 3.4%,
Selena A. Naumoff (WI) 0.0%,
Attorney General, 51.9% in'02, 1st term, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Samuel P. "Terry" Goddard (D) 60.2%, Attorney / Veteran Bill Montgomery (R) 39.8%,
Treasurer, 51.2% in '02, 1st term, David Petersen (R) not seeking re-election,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
businesswoman Rano Singh (D) 43.3%, St. Sen. Dean Martin (D) 56.7%,
Superintendent of Schools, 50.1% in'02, 1st term, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
ex-teacher / recruiter Jason Williams (D) 46.3%, Tom Horne (R) 53.7%,
Mine Inspector, 57.0% in '02, Douglas K. Martin (R) barred from re-election
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
No Democrat ex-St. Rep. Joe Hart (R) 100%,
Senator, 79.1% in '00, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: 10th Most Likely Senate Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Narrow Advantage Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, Chuck Todd: 11th most vulnerable Senator, Scott Rasmussen's Balance of Power: GOP,
state party chair Jim Pederson (D) 43.5%, Jon Kyl (R) 53.3%, Richard Mack (L) 3.2%,
Stephen "The Penny Man" Baker (WI) 0%, Ray Caplette (WI) 0%,
1st Congressional District, 58.5% in '04, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, Chuck Todd: 43rd Most Vulnerable House Seat,
attorney Ellen Simon (D) 43.4%, Rick Renzi (R) 51.8%, public relations manager David Schlosser (L) 4.8%,
2nd Congressional District, 59.2% in '04, 2nd term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
John Thrasher (D) 38.9%, Trent Franks (R) 58.6%, Powell Gammill (L) 2.5%,
William Crum (WI) 0%,
3rd Congressional District, 80.1% in '04, 6th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
ex-United Way of Ca. exec. dir. / consultant Herbert "Herb" Paine (D) 38.2%, John Shadegg (R) 59.3%, '02 & '04 nominee / computer consultant Mark Yannone (L) 2.5%,
4th Congressional District 70.1% in '04, 8th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Ed Pastor (D) 72.5%, '02 candidate / '04 nominee Don Karg (R) 23.9%, Harders (L) 3.6%,
5th Congressional District, 59.5% in '04, 6th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Toss up, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Tossup, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up, Chuck Todd: 20th Most Vulnerable House Seat,
St. Sen. Harry E. Mitchell (D) 50.4%, J.D. Hayworth (R) 46.4%, Warren Severin (L) 3.1%,
6th Congressional District, 79.4% in '04, 3rd term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
No Democrat Jeffrey Flake (R) 74.8%, Jason M. Blair (L) 25.2%,
7th Congressional District, 62.0% in '04, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Raul M. Grijalva (D) 61.1%, ex-Avondale Mayor Ron Drake (R) 35.4%, James Cobb (L) 3.6%,
8th Congressional District, 60.4% in '04, James T. "Jim" Kolbe (R) retiring 12th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Chris Cillizza: Most Likely Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Democrat Favored, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democrat, Chuck Todd: Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Leans Democrat,
ex-St. Sen. Gabrielle "Gabby" Giffords (D) 54.3%, ex-St. Rep. / '04 candidate Randy Graf (R) 42.1%, ex-National party chair / '00 California Congressional candidate David F. Nolan (L) 1.9%,
Jay Quick (I) 1.7%,
Russ Dove (WI) 0.0%, Leo F. Kimminau, Sr. (WI) 0.0%, Paul Price (WI) 0.0%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
Roll Call Analysis,
National Journal's Chuck Todd,
Rothenberg Political Report,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Arizona Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright 1998-2006 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.