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D.C.'s Political Report

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2004 Presidential Candidates
Last Updated: January 15, 2005

Predictions, Notes,
Special Thanks to Jeffrey Sachs for Mapping Coordinates Alabama has 9 EV: Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Alaska has 3 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (AK/I) - Nader (Pop) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Arizona has 10 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Arkansas has 6 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (Pop) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush California has 55 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (AI) - Cobb (G) - Peltier (PF) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Colorado has 9 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (c) - Nader (Rfm) - Cobb (G) - Harris (SW) - Brown (S) - Auken (SE) - Dodge (Pro) - Amondson (CFP) - Andress (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Connecticut has 7 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Delaware has 3 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (Ind) - Cobb (G) - Brown (S) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry District of Columbia has 3 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - Harris (SW) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Florida has 27 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (Rfm) - Cobb (G) - Harris (SW) - Brown (S) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Georgia has 15 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Hawaii has 4 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Idaho has 4 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Illinois has 21 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Indiana has 11 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Iowa has 7 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - Harris (SW) - Van Auken (SE) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Kansas has 6 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (Rfm) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Kentucky has 8 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Louisiana has 9 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (Better Life) - Cobb (G) - Harris (SW) - Brown (Protecting Working Families - Amondson (Pro) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Maine has 4 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (Better Life) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Maryland has 10 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (Pop) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Massachusetts has 12 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Michigan has 17 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - Brown (NL) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Minnesota has 10 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - Calero (SW) - Van Auken (SE) - Harens (CF) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Mississippi has 6 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - Harris (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Missouri has 11 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Montana has 3 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Nebraska has 5 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (NE) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - Calero (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Nevada has 5 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (IA) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush New Hampshire has 4 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Nader (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry New Jersey has 15 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - Calero (SW) - Brown (S) - Van Auken (SE) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry New Mexico has 5 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry New York has 31 EV - Kerry (D, WF) - Bush (R, Cns) - Badnarik (L) - Nader (Ind, P&J) - Calero (SW) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry North Carolina has 15 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush North Dakota has 3 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Ohio has 20 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (I) - Peroutka (C) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Oklahoma has 7 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Oregon has 7 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Cobb (Pac) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Pennsylvania has 21 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Cobb (G) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Rhode Island has 4 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - Parker (WW) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry South Carolina has 8 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (Ind) - Cobb (G) - Brown (UC) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry South Dakota has 3 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Tennessee has 11 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Texas has 34 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Utah has 5 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Harris (SW) - Jay (PC) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Vermont has 3 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Nader (I, G) - Calero (SW) - Parker (LU) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Virginia has 13 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Washington has 11 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - Cobb (G) - Harris (SW) - Van Auken (SE) - Parker (WW) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry West Virginia has 5 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Nader (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush Wisconsin has 10 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Nader (Better Life) - Cobb (G) - Harris (SW) - Brown (S) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Kerry Wyoming 3 EV - Kerry (D) - Bush (R) - Badnarik (L) - Peroutka (C) - Nader (I) - D.C.'s Political Report Prediction: Bush
President 47.88% in '00
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 40:39 Republican,
Summary of Predictions
New York Conservative Party Button
Link to Republican Party
Republican Party
Conservative Party of New York
Democratic Farm Labor Party LogoLink to Democratic PartyDemocratic Nonpartisan League Logo
Working Families Party Logo
Democratic Party
Democratic Farm Labor Party
Democratic Nonpartisan League
Working Families Party of New York
Reform Party ButtonNader BulldogDelaware Independence Party
Green Party's SunflowerNew York Independence Party Logo
Independent Candidate
Reform Party, Populist Party
Independent Party of Delaware
Peace & Justice Party of New York
Better Life Party of Arkansas
Green Party of Vermont
Independence Party of New York
on the ballot in 35 states
George W. Bush
Richard B. "Dick" Cheney
62,050,437 votes for 50.7309%,		 U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry
U.S. Sen. John R. Edwards
59,039,930 votes for 48.2696%,		 '00 Green nominee / consumer activist Ralph Nader,
1976 Socialist Workers Party Pres. nominee / '02 & '03 Gov. nominee investment advisor Peter Miguel Camejo,
464,291 votes for 0.3796%
Libertarian Party's Statue of Liberty
Libertarian Party
on the ballot in 49 states
Alaskan Independence Party Polar BearConstitution Party Eagle HeadNebraska Party
Constitution Party
American Independent Party
Concerned Citizens Party
Independence Party of Alaska
Taxpayers Party
Nebraska Party
on the ballot in 37 states
District of Columbia Territorial FlagGreen Party's SunflowerGreen Party's Sunflower
Green Party's SunflowerPacific Green Party Logo
Green Party
DC Statehood Green Party
Green Independent Party
Green-Rainbow Party
Pacific Green Party
on the ballot in 28 states
gun right advocate Michael Badnarik
law prof./ '02 Iowa Lt. Gov. nominee Richard V. Campagna
397,277 votes for 0.3248%,		 attorney Michael A. "Mike" Peroutka,
Minister Chuck Baldwin
144,476 votes for 0.1181%		 '02 TX Att. Gen. nominee / attorney David Keith Cobb,
'98 Maine Governor nominee / talk radio host Patricia H. LaMarche
119,834 votes for 0.0980%
Peace and Freedom Party Logo
Peace and Freedom Party
On the Ballot in California
Socialist Party LogoNatural Law Party's Earth
United Citizens Party
Socialist Party
United Citizens Party
Natural Law Party
On the Ballot in Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Louisiana, Michigan, New Jersey, South Carolina, and Wisconsin		 Socialist Workers' Fist
Socialist Workers Party
On the Ballot in Colorado, District of Columbia, Florida, Iowa, Louisiana, Mississippi, Utah, Washington and Wisconsin
Leonard Peltier,
Janice Jordan
27,607 votes for 0.0226%		 '02 Congressional nominee ex-St. Rep. / attorney Walter F. "Walt" Brown
1996 VT Gov. candidate Mary Alice Herbert
10,862 votes for 0.0089%		 '00 nominee James Harris
Margaret Trowe
7,026 votes for 0.0057%
Socialist Workers' Fist
Socialist Workers Party
On the Ballot in Minnesota, Nebraska, New Jersey, New York and Vermont		 Christian Freedom Party Logo
Christian Freedom Party
On the Ballot in Minnesota		 Socialist Eqaulity World
Socialist Equality Party
On the Ballot in Colorado, Iowa, Minnesota, New Jersey and Washington.
magazine editor Róger Calero
'02 Lt. Gov. nominee Arrin Hawkins
4,097 votes for 0.0033%		 Thomas J. Harens
Jennifer A. Ryan
2,387 votes for 0.0019%		 reporter Bill Van Auken
'96 Congressional candidate James "Jim" Lawrence
1,861 votes for 0.0015%
Prohibition Party Camel
Concern for People Party
Prohibition Party
On the Ballot in Colorado and Louisiana.
Liberty Union PartyWorkers World Party Star

Workers World Party
Liberty Union Party
On the Ballot in Rhode Island, Vermont and Washington		 Personal Choice Party's Smiley Face
Personal Choice Party
On the Ballot in Utah
artist Gene Amondson
Leroy Pletten
1,944 votes for 0.0016%		 John Parker
Teresa Gutierrez
1,597 votes for 0.0013%		 Charles Jay
Marilyn Chambers Taylor
946 votes for 0.0008%
Independent Candidate
Independent Candidate
On the Ballot in Colorado		 Prohibition Party Camel
Prohibition Party
On the Ballot in Colorado		 write-in candidates
Write In Votes
'02 Congressional Write-In candidate Stanford E. "Andy" Andress (I)
Irene M. Deasy (I)
804 votes for 0.0007%		 '00 nominee Earl F. Dodge
Howard L. Lydick
140 votes for 0.0001%		 33,705 votes for 0.0276%
3,688 None of the Above for 0.003%

1. Key to Predictions: D.C.'s Political Report
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Shaded boxes indicates winner. Red print indicates change in party control.


Copyright ª 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.