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Oregon Secretary of State - Elections Division

2004 Oregon Congressional and Statewide Races
Filing Deadline: 3/9/04, Primary: 5/18/04, Filing Deadline for new parties: Filing Deadline: 6/2/04, Presidential Filing Deadline: 8/24/04,
Last Updated: December 26, 2004

Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 46.5% in '00, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Kerry, Cook Political Report: Leans Kerry, Washington Post: Battleground State, Washington Times: Battleground, John Zogby: In Play, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 20:19 Kerry,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 51.3%, George W. Bush (R) 47.2%, Michael Badnarik (L) 0.4%,
David Cobb (Pac) 0.3%,
Mike Peroutka (C) 0.3%,
write in votes 0.5%,
Attorney General, 49.9% in '00, next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic
Hardy Myers (D) 54.8%, attorney Paul R. Connolly (R) 40.4%, Donald G. Smith, Jr. (L) 3.8%,
Richard D. Hake (C) 0.9%,
write in votes 0.1%,
Secretary of State 49.5% in '00, next election in 2004,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Bill Bradbury (D) 57.2%, St. Rep. Betsy L. Close (R) 39.4%, accountant Richard Morley (L) 3.2%,
write in votes 0.2%,
Treasurer, 50.2% in '00, next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Randall Edwards (D) 52.9%, financial officer Jeff Caton (R) 39.8%, marketing executive / '00 nominee Mitchell "Mitch" Shults (L) 3.1%,
Carole D. Winegarden (C) 3.0%,
write in votes 0.1%,
Senator, 61.1% in '98, 2nd term, Next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic, Larry Sabato: Solid Democratic, New York Times: Remains Democratic, Congressional Quarterly: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 8:1 Democrat,
Ron Wyden (D) 63.4%, rancher Al King (R) 31.7%, Teresa Keane (Pac) 2.4%,
Dan Fitzgerald (L) 1.7%,
'02 Congressional nominee David Brownlow (C) 0.7%,
write in votes 0.1%
1st Congressional District, 62.7% in '02, 3rd term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic,
David Wu (D) 57.5%, businessman Goli Ameri (R) 38.1%, Dean Wolf (C) 3.9%,
write in votes 0.4%,
2nd Congressional District, 71.9% in '02 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
contractor / '02 candidate John C. McColgan (D) 25.6%, Greg Walden (R) 71.6%, Jim Lindsay (L) 1.4%,
Jack Alan Brown, Jr. (C) 1.2%,
write in votes 0.2%,
3rd Congressional District, 66.7% in '02, 5th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Earl Blumenauer (D) 70.8%, Tami Mars (R) 23.7%, Walter F. "Walt" Brown (S) 3.1%,
Dale Winegarden (C) 2.0%,
write in votes 0.3%,
4th Congressional District, 63.8% in '02, 9th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic,
Peter A. "Pete" DeFazio (D) 61.0%, ex-FBI agent Jim Feldkamp (R) 37.6%, Jacob Boone (L) 0.8%,
Michael Paul Marsh (C) 0.5%,
write in votes 0.1%,
5th Congressional District, 54.7% in '02, 4th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:3 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Leans Democratic, Larry Sabato: Leans Democratic,
Darlene Hooley (D) 52.9%, businessman / ex-school board member Jim Zupancic (R) 44.3%, Jerry DeFoe (L) 1.8%,
Joseph H. Bitz (C) 0.8%,
write in votes 0.1%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
Cook Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Oregon Political Parties:
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(Pac) = Pacific Green Party
- Affiliated with the Green Party

(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.