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North Carolina State Board of Elections
2004 North Carolina Congressional and Statewide Races
Filing Deadline: 2/27/04, Presidential Caucus: 4/17/04, Presidential Primary: 5/4/04, Filing Deadline: 5/7/04, Presidential Filing Deadline: 7/6/04, Primary: 7/20/04, Special Election: 7/20/04, Run-Off: 8/17/04, Special Election January 11, 2005
Last Updated: December 26, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 56.0% in '00, 1st term, Current Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Bush, Cook Political Report: Leans Bush, Washington Post: Bush, Washington Times: Bush, John Zogby: Bush, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 15:14 Bush,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 43.6%, George W. Bush (R), 56.0%, Michael Badnarik (L) 0.3%,
Ralph Nader (WI) 0.1%, Walt Brown (S/WI) 0.01%, David Cobb (G/WI) 0.003%,
Governor, 52.1% in '00, 1st term, next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:8 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Leans Democratic, Larry Sabato: Leans Democratic, Congressional Quarterly: Leans Democrat,
Mike Easley (D) 55.6%, St. Sen. Patrick J. Ballantine (R) 42.9%, homeschooler/'96 Congressional nominee / '98 U.S. Senate nominee / '00 nominee Barbara Howe (L) 1.5%,
Lt. Governor, 52.4% in '00, 1st term, next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Beverly Eaves Perdue (D) 55.6%, '02 Senate candidate / attorney James E. "Jim" Snyder, Jr. (R) 42.8%, '00 Congressional nominee Christopher S. Cole (L) 1.6%,
Attorney General, 51.3% in '00, 1st term, next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Roy A. Cooper III (D) 55.6%, attorney / ex-federal prosecutor Joe Knott (R) 44.4%,
Secretary of State, 54.5% in '00, 2nd term, next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic
Elaine F. Marshall (D) 57.3%, corp. sales exec. Jay Rao (R) 42.7%,
Treasurer, 55.5% in '00, 1st term, next election in 2004,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Richard H. Moore (D) 54.5%, attorney Edward A. "Ed" Meyer (R) 45.5%,
Auditor, 50.6% in '00, next election in 2004,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic
Ralph Campbell (D) 49.6%, '00 nominee / accountant / ex-Wake Co. Comm'r Leslie "Les" Merritt (R) 50.4%,
Agriculture Commissioner, 50.5% in '00, Meg Scott Phipps (D) resigned in 1st term, next election in 2004,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican
Interim Comm'r. W. Britt Cobb, Jr. (D) 49.96%, quit in 2/05 after disputed post-election count '00 nominee farmer Steve Troxler (R) 50.04%,
Insurance Commissioner, 56.7% in '00, next election in 2004,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Jim Long (D) 57.6%, ex-St. Rep. C. Robert Brawley (R) 42.4%,
Labor Commissioner, 50.1% in '00, 1st term, next election in 2004,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
St. Rep. G. Wayne Goodwin (D) 47.9%, Cherie Killian Berry (R) 52.1%,
School Superintendent, 53.4% in '00, Michael "Mike" Ward (D) retiring, Interim Superintendent Patricia Willoughby did not run,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
st. Dept. of Public Instrution official June S. Atkinson (D) 50.1%, Wake Co. Board of Ed. Chair Bill Fletcher (R) 49.9%,
Senator, 51.2% in '98, 1st term, next election in 2004, Current Polls, John R. Edwards (D) running for Vice President,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Larry Sabato: Toss-up, John J. Miller: Toss-Up, New York Times: Remains Toss Up, Congressional Quarterly: No Clear Favorite, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 1:1,
ex-White House Chief of Staff / '02 nominee Erskine B. Bowles (D) 47.0%, U.S. Rep. Richard M. Burr (R) 51.6%, contractor Tom Bailey (L) 1.4%,
Walkler F. Rucker (WI) 0.01%,
1st Congressional District, 70.7% in '04 Special Election, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat,
G. K. Butterfield (D) 64.0%, security consultant / '02 nominee Greg Dority (R) 36.0%,
2nd Congressional District, 65.4% in '02, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat,
Bobby "Bob" Etheridge (D) 62.3%, St. Rep. Billy J. Creech (R) 37.7%,
3rd Congressional District, 90.7% in '02, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
asphalt plant assistant manager Roger A. Eaton (D) 29.3%, Walter B. Jones Jr. (R) 70.7%,
4th Congressional District, 61.2% in '02, 4th / 8th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 8:1 Democrat,
David E. Price (D) 64.1%, businessman Todd A. Batchelor (R) 35.9%, freelance writer Maximilian Longley (L/WI) 0.02%,
5th Congressional District, 70.2% in '02, 5th term, Richard M. Burr (R) running for Senate, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:3 Republican,
Co. Comm'r. Jim A. Harrell, Jr. (D) 41.2%, St. Sen. Virginia Foxx (R) 58.8%,
6th Congressional District, 90.4% in '02, 10th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
William W. Jordan (D) 26.8%, Howard Coble (R) 73.2%,
7th Congressional District, 71.1% in '02, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Mike McIntyre (D) 73.2%, Ken Plonk (R) 26.8%,
8th Congressional District, 53.6% in '02, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:3 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican,
former "West Wing" crew member Beth Troutman (D) 44.4%, Robert C. "Robin" Hayes (R) 55.6%,
9th Congressional District, 72.4% in '02, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
photographer / ex-Navy NCO Jack Flynn (D) 29.8%, Sue Myrick (R) 70.2%,
10th Congressional District, 59.3% in '02, T. Cass Ballenger (R) retiring after 9th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
social worker Anne N. Fischer (D) 35.8%, St. Rep. Patrick T. McHenry (R) 64.2%,
11th Congressional District, 55.5% in '02, 7th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:4 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Democratic Target,
Co. Comm'r. Patsy Keever (D) 45.1%, Charles H. Taylor (R) 54.9%,
12th Congressional District, 65.3% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 8:1 Democrat,
Melvin "Mel" Watt (D) 66.7%, Dr. / '02 Senate candidate Ada M. Fisher (R) 33.3%,
13th Congressional District, 54.7% in '02, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic,
Brad Miller (D) 58.8%, attorney Virginia Johnson (R) 41.2%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Cook Political Report,
John J. Miller,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to North Carolina Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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