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Michigan Department of State - Bureau of Elections
2004 Michigan Congressional and Statewide Races
Presidential Primary Filing Deadline 12/12/03, Democratic Caucuses: 2/7/04, Presidential GOP Primary: 2/24/04 canceled, Filing Deadline: 5/11/04, Independent & New Party & Presidential Filing Deadline: 7/15/04, Primary Write-in Deadline: 7/30/04, Primary: 8/3/04, Write-in Deadline: 10/29/04,
Last Updated: December 24, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 46.1% in '00, 1st term, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Kerry, Cook Political Report: Lean Kerry, Washington Post: Battleground State, Washington Times: Leans Kerry, John Zogby: Kerry, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 4:3 Kerry,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 51.2%, George W. Bush (R) 47.8%, Ralph Nader (I) 0.5%,
Michael Badnarik (L) 0.2%,
David Cobb (G) 0.1%,
Mike Peroutka (T) 0.1%,
Walt Brown (NL) 0.03%,
1st Congressional District, 67.7% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat,
Bart T. Stupak (D) 65.6%, businessman / '02 nominee Don Hooper (R) 32.7%, nuclear engineer David J. Newland (G) 1.0%,
machinist John W. Loosemore (L) 0.7%,
2nd Congressional District, 70.4% in '02, 6th term, self-term limited
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
former Kucinich national field director Kimon Kotos (D) 28.9%, Peter Hoekstra (R) 69.3%, state party vice chair Steve Van Til (L) 0.9%,
'00 nominee medical examiner Ronald E. Graeser (T) 0.8%,
3rd Congressional District, 70.0% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 8:1 Republican,
Peter H. Hickey (D) 31.5%, Vernon J. Ehlers (R) 66.6%, Warren Adams (L) 1.1%,
teacher Marcel J. Sales (T) 0.8%,
4th Congressional District, 68.1% in '02, 7th term, might run for Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 8:1 Republican,
restaurant owner Michael R. "Huck" Huckleberry (D) 34.8%, David "Dave" Lee Camp (R) 64.4%, '02 nominee Al Chia, Jr. (L) 0.9%,
5th Congressional District, 91.6% in '02, 14th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat,
Dale E. Kildee (D) 67.2%, state nursing board member / ex-police officer Myrah Kirkwood (R) 31.3%, retired state employee / '02 nominee Harley Mikkelson (G) 0.8%,
'00 & '02 nominee / disk jockey Clint Foster (L) 0.7%,
6th Congressional District, 68.2% in '02, 9th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican,
art gallery owner Scott Elliott (D) 32.4%, Stephen Frederick "Fred" Upton (R) 65.3%, businessman Randall "Randy" MacPhee (G) 0.8%,
physician '96, '98 & '00 nominee Erwin J. Haas (L) 0.75%,
W. Denis FitzSimons (T) 0.7%,
7th Congressional District, 59.6% in '02, Nick Smith (R) retiring after 6th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:4 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Evans-Novak: Leaning Smith,
paralegal / organic farmer Sharon Marie Renier (D) 36.3%, ex-St. Sen. / '02 Gov. candidate John "Joe" Schwarz (R) 58.4%, computer programmer David Horn (T) 3.0%,
tutor / ex-businessman Jason Seagraves (G) 1.3%,
auto worker / '92 '94 '98 & '02 nominee Kenneth L. "Ken" Proctor (L) 1.0%,
8th Congressional District, 67.9% in '02, 2nd term, might run for Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican,
prof. Robert D. "Bob" Alexander (D) 36.9%, Michael "Mike" J. Rogers (R) 61.1%, musical instrument maker Will Tyler White (L) 1.0%,
cable talk show host / '98 Reform Party Congressional nominee / '00 Taxpayers Party Senate nominee / '02 Reform Party Senate nominee John S. Mangopoulos (T) 1.0%,
9th Congressional District, 58.1% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:3 Republican,
attorney Steven W. Reifman (D) 39.5%, Joseph Knollenberg (R) 58.4%, chemical engineer / '02 nominee Robert W. Schubring (L) 2.0%,
10th Congressional District, 63.3% in '02, 1st term, might run for Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican,
Rob Casey (D) 29.5%, Candice S. Miller (R) 68.6%, Phoebe A. Basso (L) 1.2%,
Anthony America (NL) 0.6%,
11th Congressional District, 57.2% in '02, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican,
union president Phillip S. Truran (D) 41.0%, Thaddeus G. "Thad" McCotter (R) 57.0%, Charles L. Basso, Jr. (L) 2.0%,
Jim Dunn (T)?,
12th Congressional District, 68.3% in '02, 11th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat,
Sander M. "Sandy" Levin (D) 69.3%, Randell J. Shafer (R) 29.0%, '00 & '02 nominee / marijuana activist Richard Carl "Dick" Gach (L) 1.7%,
'02 nominee Steven T. Revis (T)?,
13th Congressional District, 91.6% in '02, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick (D) 78.2%, Cynthia Cassell (R) 18.5%, Eric Gordon (L) 1.4%,
attorney Thomas Lavigne (G) 1.9%,
Osborne Hart (WI) 0.00045%,
14th Congressional District, 83.4% in '02, 20th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 10:1 Democrat,
John Conyers Jr. (D) 83.9%, Veronica Pedraza (R) 13.8%, Michael L. Donahue (L) 0.9%,
teacher Lisa Weltman (G) 0.9%,
Wilbert "Will" Sears (T) 0.5%,
15th Congressional District, 72.2% in '02, 25th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
John D. Dingell (D) 70.9%, Dawn Anne Reamer (R) 26.6%, '02 nominee Gregory S. "Greg" Stempfle (L) 1.1%,
Mike Eller (T) 0.8%,
Jerry White (SE) 0.6%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Michigan Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(NL) = Natural Law Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(SEP) = Socialist Equality Party
(T) = Taxpayers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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