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Arizona Secretary of State - Election Department
2004 Arizona Congressional and Statewide Results
Presidential Primary Filing Deadline 12/24/03, Presidential Primary: 2/3/04, New Party Filing Deadline: 3/11/04, Filing Deadline: 6/9/04, Filing Deadline for Primary Write in Candidates 8/24/04, Filing Deadline for Write in Candidates: 10/19/04, Primary: 9/7/04, Presidential Filing Deadline: 10/11/04,
Last Updated: December 17, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 51.0% in '00, 1st term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Bush, Cook Political Report: Leans Bush, Washington Post: Battleground State, Washington Times: Leans Bush, John Zogby: In Play, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 9:8 Bush,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 44.4%, George W. Bush (R) 54.9%, Michael Badnarik (L) 0.6%,
Ralph Nader (WI) 0.1%, David Cobb (WI) 0.007%,
Senator, 68.7% in '98, 3rd term, Next election in 2004, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Larry Sabato: Solid Republican, New York Times: Remains Republican, Congressional Quarterly: Safe Republican, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 9:1 Republican,
teacher / businessman / '98 Congressional nominee / '00 write in candidate Stuart M. "Stu" Starky (D) 20.6%, John McCain, III (R) 76.7%, radio talk show host / '98 / '00 Congressional nominee Ernest Hancock (L) 2.6%,
1st Congressional District, 49.2% in '02, 1st term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:8 Republican, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Watch List, Larry Sabato: Toss-up,
ex-Flagstaff Mayor / Coconio Co. Sup. Paul Babbitt (D) 36.2%, Rick Renzi (R) 58.5%, technology consultant John Crockett (L) 5.2%,
2nd Congressional District, 59.9% in '02, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican,
teacher / '02 nominee Randy Camacho (D) 38.4%, Trent Franks (R) 59.2%, genetics researcher Powell Gammill (L) 2.4%,
William Crum (WI) 0.0%,
3rd Congressional District, 67.3% in '02, 5th term, might run for Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
No Democrat John Shadegg (R) 80.1%, '02 nominee / computer consultant Mark Yannone (L) 19.9%,
4th Congressional District 67.4% in '02, 7th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat,
Ed Pastor (D) 70.1%, '02 candidate Don Karg (R) 25.7%, software developer / '02 Governor candidate Gary Fallon (L) 4.2%,
5th Congressional District, 61.2% in '02, 5th term, runnng for Governor in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
health care administrator Elizabeth Rogers (D) 38.2%, J.D. Hayworth (R) 59.5%, computer consultant Michael Kielsky (L) 2.3%,
6th Congressional District, 65.9% in '02, 2nd term, broke term limit pledge, might run for Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
No Democrat Jeffrey Flake (R) 79.4%, army veteran / college student Craig Stritar (L) 20.6%,
7th Congressional District, 59.1% in '02, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat,
Raul M. Grijalva (D) 62.0%, contractor / '02 candidate Joseph Sweeney (R) 33.7%, Dave Kaplan (L) 4.3%,
8th Congressional District, 63.3% in '02, 10th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
ex-Ass't. St. Att. Gen. Eva Bacal (D) 36.2%, Jim Kolbe (R) 60.4%, '96 & '98 nominee / Nuclear Plant Worker Robert Anderson (L) 3.4%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
Cook Political Report,
Rothenberg Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Blue boxes indicates winner. Red boxes indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Arizona Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.