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Michigan Department of State - Bureau of Elections
2000 Michigan Presidential and Congressional Results
Filing Deadline: 5/16/00, Primary: 8/8/00
Last Updated: December 14, 2000
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
President, William J. Clinton (D) barred from 3rd term, 51.7% in '96
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Democrat, Others' Predictions,
Albert A. "Al" Gore, Jr. (D) 51.28% George W. "Dubya" Bush (R) 46.15% Ralph Nader (G) 1.99%, Harry Browne (L) 0.39%, John S. Hagelin (NL) 0.06%, Howard Phillips (T) 0.09%, Patrick J. 'Pat' Buchanan (WI) 0.04%, David Ernest McReynolds (WI),
Senator, 52% in '94, 1st term, Next election in 2000
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's Odds: 8:7 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: No Clear Favorite, Stuart Rothenberg's rating: Vulnerable Republican, Cook Political Report's overview: Toss Up, Hotline Scoop's Senate ranking: 5th Most Likely to Turn Over, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee's target, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat, Ken Rubin: Democrat,
U.S. Rep. Debbie Stabenow (D) 49.2% Spencer Abraham (R) 48.1% Michael R. Corliss (L) 0.7%, attorney Matthew Abel (G) 0.9%, ex-Macomb Co. GOP chair Mark A. Forton (Rfm) 0.6%, '98 Reform Party Congressional nominee John Mangopoulos (T) 0.3%, state party chair William Quarton (NL) 0.1%,
1st Congressional District, 58.7% in '98, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report's overview: Likely Democratic, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Veteran, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
Bart T. Stupak (D) 58.4% RNC committeeman / businessman Chuck Yob (R) 40.4% '98 nominee John W. Loosemore (L) 0.6%, state party secretary Wendy Conway (NL) 0.6%,
2nd Congressional District, 68.7% in '98, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
'98 nominee Bob Shrauger (D) 33.2% Peter Hoekstra (R) 64.4% '96 / '98 nominee / plant manager Bruce A. Smith (L) 0.9%, medical examiner Ronald E. Graeser (T) 0.5%, Susan J. Goldberg (NL) 0.9%,
3rd Congressional District, 73.1% in '98, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
Timothy W. Steele (D) 33.1% Vernon J. Ehlers (R) 65.0% '96 / '98 nominee Erwin J. Haas (L) 0.9%, anti-Amway activist Kenneth L. Lowndes (Rfm) 0.4%, Thomas C. "Tom" Grego (T) 0.4%, restauranteur Jerry Berta (NL) 0.3%,
4th Congressional District, 91.3% in '98, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 6:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Four Veteran,
retired teacher Lawrence D. Hollenbeck (D) 29.2% David "Dave" Lee Camp (R) 68.0% Richard L. Whitelock (L) 0.8%, Alan Gamble (G) 1.4%, John W. Emerick (T) 0.4%, '96 & '98 nominee Stuart J. Goldberg (NL) 0.3%,
5th Congressional District, 71.2% in '98, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
James A. Barcia (D) 74.3% public relations exec. Ronald G. Actis (R) 23.9% '98 nominee Clint Foster (L) 1.2%, '96 & '98 nominee Brian D. Ellison (NL) 0.5%,
6th Congressional District, 70.1% in '98, 7th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Four Veteran,
ex-mental health counselor James Bupp (D) 29.2% Stephen Frederick "Fred" Upton (R) 67.9% William H. "Bill" Bradley (L) 1.5%, Richard M. Overton (Rfm) 0.8%, state party chair C. Dennis James (T) 0.5%,
7th Congressional District, 57.5% in '98, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Four Veteran,
retired teacher Jennie Crittendon (D) 35.6% Nick Smith (R) 60.9% '96 nominee Robert F. Broda, Jr. (L) 0.9%, '98 Secretary of State nominee Perry Spencer (Rfm) 1.0%, Steve M. Cousino (T) 1.2%, Gail Anne Petrosoff (NL) 0.5%,
8th Congressional District, 57.4% in '98, Debbie Stabenow (D) retiring after 2nd term and running for U.S. Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: No Clear Favorite, Stuart Rothenberg: Most Vulnerable, Cook Political Report's overview: Toss up, identified by The Associated Press as a Key House Race, one of Hotline Scoop's 25 Hottest Races / Tier One Open Seat, Washington Post's Races to Watch List, identified by the Wall Street Journal as one of the decisive dozen, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican, Ken Rubin: Republican,
St. Sen. Dianne Yvonne Byrum (D) 48.74% St. Sen. Michael "Mike" J. Rogers (R) 48.79% attorney James Parry Eyster (L) 0.8%, TV show host Bonnie Bucqueroux (G) 1.2%, Francisco R. Gualdoni (T) 0.2%, '98 nominee Patricia Rayfield Allen (NL) 0.2%,
9th Congressional District, 55.9% in '98, 12th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Dale E. Kildee (D) 61.1% auto parts worker Grant Garrett (R) 35.9% Laurie M. Martin (L) 2.1%, Terry R. Haines (T) 0.6%, Alaya Bouché (NL) 0.3%,
10th Congressional District, 52.5% in '98, 12th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:3 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Veteran,
David E. Bonior (D) 64.2% businessman Thomas "Tom" Turner (R) 33.4% truck driver / '98 nominee Richard T. Friend (L) 1.6%, Joseph M. Pilchak (T) 0.8%,
11th Congressional District, 63.9% in '98, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
'96 nominee Matthew Frumin (D) 40.5% Joseph Knollenberg (R) 55.7% '96 / '98 nominee / marijuana activist Richard "Dick" Gach (L) 1.1%, Joseph A. Dizhazy, Jr. (Rfm) 0.5%, astrologer Marilyn MacDermaid (G) 1.4%, Daniel E. Malone (T) 0.4%, Bonnie Hixon (NL) 0.4%,
12th Congressional District, 55.9% in '98, 9th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:4 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Sander M. Levin (D) 64.3% businessman Bart Baron (R) 32.2% Andrew LeCureaux (L) 1.5%, magazine publisher Tom Ness (G) 1.7%, '98 nominee Fred D. Rosenberg (NL) 0.4%,
13th Congressional District, 58.2% in '98, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Lynn Nancy Rivers (D) 64.7% ex-police officer / local GOP chair Carl F. Barry (R) 32.1% Karin R. Corliss (L) 1.8%, state party secretary Harold H. Dunn (T) 0.9%, David Arndt (NL) 0.5%,
14th Congressional District, 87.0% in '98, 18th term, might retire in 2002
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
John Conyers Jr. (D) 88.6% '96 nominee William A. Ashe (R) 9.7% Constance Catalfio (L) 1.2%, '92 / '94 / '96 & '98 nominee Richard R. Miller (NL) 0.6%,
15th Congressional District, 87.0% in '98, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick (D) 88.1% '98 nominee Chrysanthea D. Boyd-Fields (R) 9.5% '96 nominee Raymond H. Warner (L) 1.1%, Robert L. Thomas (T) 0.9%, '96 / '98 nominee Gregory Frank Smith (NL) 0.5%, auto worker '98 nominee John Sarge (SW),
16th Congressional District, 66.6% in '98, 23nd term, might retire in 2002
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
John D. Dingell (D) 70.8% '98 nominee William Morse (R) 26.4% '98 nominee Edward Andrew Hlavac (L) 1.4%, '94 GOP nominee? Kenneth R. "Ken" Larkin (T) 0.9%, interpreter / '94 / '96 / '98 nominee N. Fouad Hamze (NL) 0.4%,

1. Link to Predictions: (D.C.'s Political Report no longer assures that these links are active)
ABC News,
Associated Press,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
Congressional Quarterly Magazine,
The Cook Political Report,
D.C.'s Political Report,
Ron Gunzburger,
The National Journal's and The Hotline's Hotline Scoop.com,
Peter J. M. Orvetti
,
Roll Call,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Ken Rubin,
Washington Post,
Wall Street Journal,

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red boxes indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(NL) = Natural Law Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(T) = U.S. Taxpayers Party - Affiliated with the Constitution Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.