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Indiana Secretary of State - Elections Division
2000 Indiana Presidential, Congressional and Statewide Races
Filing Deadline: 2/18/00, Primary: 5/2/00,
Last Updated: November 11, 2000
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
President, William J. Clinton (D) barred from 3rd term, 41.6% in '96
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Republican, Others' Predictions,
Albert A. "Al" Gore, Jr. (D) 41.01% George W. "Dubya" Bush (R) 56.65% Ralph Nader (WI) 0.84%, Patrick J. 'Pat' Buchanan (I) 0.77%, Harry Browne (L) 0.71%, Howard Phillips (WI) 0.00%, John S. Hagelin (WI) 0.00%, David Ernest McReynolds (WI) 0.00%, David H. Birchler (WI) 0.00%, Earnest Lee Easton (VI/WI) 0.00%, Keith Russell Judd (WI) 0.00%, Gloria Dawn Strickland (WI) 0.00%, Joe Schriner (WI) 0.00%,
Governor 51.1% in '96, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Rothenberg Report: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:4 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report's overview: Lean Democrat, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
Frank O'Bannon (D) 56.2% U.S. Rep. David M. McIntosh (R) 42.2% engineer / '99 Indianapolis Mayor nominee Andy Horning (L) 1.6%, business manager Paul Wilson (NL, WI) 0.0%, attorney Terry Boesch (WI) 0.0%,
Lt. Governor,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic,
Joseph Kernan (D) 56.2% St. Sen. J. Murray Clark (R) 42.2% consultant Mark Schreiber (L) 1.6%, programmer Richard A. "Rick" Crawford (NL, WI) 0.0%,
Attorney General,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic,
Karen Freeman Wilson (D) 45.9% '96 nominee / attorney Steve Carter (R) 51.9% attorney N. Sean Harshey (L) 2.2%
School Superintendent,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican
Whiting School Superintendent Gerald McCullum (D) 37.9% Suellen Reed (R) 57.8% Sam Goldstein (L) 4.2%, computer resaler Jack Baldwin (NL),
Senator, 67% in '94, 4th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Stuart Rothenberg's rating: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report's overview: Solid Republican, Political Junkie: Republican, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican, Ken Rubin: Republican,
attorney David Lawther Johnson (D) 30.6% Richard G. Lugar (R) 67.8% attorney Larry Evans (NL) 0.0%, software engineer '96 / '98 8th District nominee Paul Hager (L) 1.6%,
1st Congressional District, 72.5% in '98, 8th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Peter J. Visclosky (D) 71.6% education consultant Jack Reynolds (R) 27.0% Christopher Nelson (L) 1.4%,
2nd Congressional District, 60.6% in '98, 3rd term, David M. McIntosh (R) running for Governor
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 6:5 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report's overview: Leans Republican, one of Hotline Scoop's 43 Hottest Races / Tier Two Open Seat, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,
attorney Robert W. Rock Jr. (D) 38.8% radio talk show host Mike Pence (R) 50.9% ex-GOP St. Sen. / perennial candidate William "Bill" Frazier (I) 9.2%, Michael E. "Mike" Anderson (L) 1.2%,
3rd Congressional District, 58.1% in '98, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report's overview: Likely Democratic, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Veteran, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
Tim Roemer (D) 51.6% businessman Joseph Christopher "Chris" Chocola (R) 47.4% Scott C. Baker (L) 1.0%
4th Congressional District, 63.3% in '98, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
FedEx Courier Michael "Mike" Dewayne Foster (D) 35.4% Mark E. Souder (R) 62.3% Michael Donlan (L) 2.3%
5th Congressional District, 62.5% in '98, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
Steelworkers Union local president Greg Goodnight (D) 37.5% Stephen Buyer (R) 60.8% auto worker / Gulf War veteran Scott Benson (L) 1.6%
6th Congressional District, 72.0% in '98, 9th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
community service organization director Darin Patrick Griesey (D) 23.3% Dan Burton (R) 73.2% teacher / '98 nominee Joe Hauptman (L) 3.5%
7th Congressional District, 68.9% in '98, Edward A. Pease (R) retiring after 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Open Seat, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,
UPS employee Michael Douglas Graf (D) 31.8% congressional aide Brian D. Kerns (R) 64.8% Robert "Bob" Thayer (L) 3.4%
8th Congressional District, 52.1% in '98, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report's overview: Toss Up, one of Hotline Scoop's 25 Hottest Races / Tier One Veteran, identified by the Wall Street Journal as one of the decisive dozen, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,
physician Paul E. Perry (D) 45.3% John N. Hostettler (R) 52.7% Thomas "Tom" Tindle (L) 1.9%
9th Congressional District, 50.8% in '98, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Democrat Favored, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Freshmen, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
Baron P. Hill (D) 54.2% pro-life activist Michael E. Bailey (R) 43.8% Sara Cotham Chambers (L) 2.0%
10th Congressional District, 58.3% in '98, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
Julia M. Carson (D) 59% '94 nominee / professor Marvin Bailey Scott (R) 40% teacher / '96 Lt. Gov. nominee Na'llah Ali (L) 1%

1. Link to Predictions: (D.C.'s Political Report no longer assures that these links are active)
ABC News,
The Associated Press,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
Congressional Quarterly Magazine,
The Cook Political Report,
D.C.'s Political Report,
Ron Gunzburger,
Ron Gunzburger,
The National Journal's and The Hotline's Hotline Scoop.com,
Peter J. M. Orvetti
,
Roll Call,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Ken Rubin,
Wall Street Journal,

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red boxes indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(NL) = Natural Law Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright ª 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.